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Hurricane Michael could be Category 4 when it hits Florida

Gov. Rick Scott said Hurricane Michael is expected to be the 'most destructive storm to hit the Florida Panhandle in decades.'

Hurricane Michael strengthened to a major, Category 3 hurricane Tuesday afternoon as it roared toward Florida's Gulf Coast, threatening to wreak historic devastation on a state walloped by Hurricane Irma's historic rage 13 months ago. Forecasters say it could become a Category 4 before making landfall Wednesday with "life-threatening storm surge" and heavy rainfall.

The National Hurricane Center warned that Michael is likely to make landfall Wednesday afternoon, either on the Florida Panhandle or Big Bend.

"Hurricane Michael is forecast to be the most destructive storm to hit the Florida Panhandle in decades," Gov. Rick Scott said. "It will be life-threatening and extremely dangerous. You cannot hide from this storm."

As of 11 p.m. EDT, Michael was moving north at 12 mph with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph.

Scott declared a state of emergency for 35 counties, and activated 2,500 National Guard troops and made more than 300 state troopers available for deployment.

Tuesday afternoon, President Donald Trump approved an emergency declaration for Florida.

Evacuations have been ordered in parts of 10 counties. More than 100,000 people were ordered out of a long swath of low-lying communities, including many in Bay County, home of Panama City.

“We’ve practiced this many times. This is game time," Bay County Sheriff Tommy Ford said. "This is the real thing, a significant threat to life and safety."

Much of the state saw the "real thing" last year, when Hurricane Irma force more than 6 million evacuations, flooded cities and left millions without power. The repair bill came in at more than $60 billion, ranking Irma among the most costly storms in U.S. history.

Michael could cause erosion at the base of sand dunes along three-fourths of Florida Panhandle beaches, the U.S. Geological Service said. The storm could inundate more than one-fourth of that coast’s dunes, causing flooding behind the protective dune line, said Kara Doran, leader of the USGS Coastal Change Hazards Storm Team.

Scott said the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama and southern Georgia will see 4 to 8 inches, with isolated areas facing 12 inches. Storm surge could reach a monstrous 12 feet in some areas – enough to "easily go over the roofs of some houses," he said.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey issued a state of emergency in anticipation of widespread power outages, wind damage and debris produced by high winds. In Georgia, Gov. Nathan Deal declared a preemptive state of emergency for 92 counties.

"I ask all Georgians to join me in praying for the safety of our people and all those in the path of Hurricane Michael," Deal said.

In North Carolina, still reeling from the destruction of Hurricane Florence last month, Gov. Roy Cooper warned that Michael could bring moderate storm surge, downed trees and power outages to his sodden state.

FEMA administrator Brock Long said the agency was prepared for the storm in all the states likely to feel Michael's impact.

The hurricane center, citing Michael’s dangerous trifecta of storm surge, flash flooding and winds, described the seventh hurricane of the Atlantic season as “life-threatening.” The National Weather Service in Tallahassee called Michael “a potentially catastrophic storm" for the capital city.

"Folks are ready from the government side, but we need citizens to also be ready," said Mayor Andrew Gillum, who is the Democratic candidate for governor in next month's election. "They are their best first responders."

A hurricane warning was in effect for the Alabama-Florida border to the Suwannee River, with a hurricane watch in place from the Alabama-Florida border to the Mississippi-Alabama border.

AccuWeather predicted the storm's economic impact damage will approach $15 billion. That's actually an encouraging total compared to the weather agency's $60 billion damage estimate from Florence.

AccuWeather chief Joel Myers said Michael is forecast to roll through the region much more quickly than did the lingering Florence, which dumped up to 40 inches of rain in some areas.

"We expect less rain to fall when compared to Florence," said AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Kottlowski.

Contributing: Steve Kiggins

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